Keyword: Other Macroeconomic Variables

Why SA isn’t getting the growth it needs
The Covid Project — a research project to assess SA’s economic pros...
Published: 10 September 2022
Claire Bisseker
Business Live
The bond market impact of the South African Reserve Bank bond purchase programme
We use a unique dataset comprising over a million trades and quotes...
Published: 24 March 2022
Roy Havemann, Rossouw van Jaarsveld, Henk Janse van Vuuren, Daan Steenkamp
Working Paper
Equivalence scales with endogeneity and base independence
This study estimates food budget share equations to calculate house...
Published: 1 March 2022
Steven F. Koch
Working Paper
Measuring and testing a modified version of the South African financial cycle
This study reports on measuring and testing of a Composite Financia...
Published: 5 October 2021
Paul F. Muzindutsi, Malibongwe C. Nyati, Christian K. Tipoy
Working Paper
Dr Matthew Stern on understanding South Africa’s trade policy and performance
An issue often overlooked in many discussions is that of exports an...
Published: 5 August 2021
Matthew Stern
Podcast
Part 3: International perspectives and South Africa’s trade policy
The discussion is based on two papers: Covid-19 and Lockdown Polici...
Published: 29 July 2021
Sherman Robinson, Montford Mlachila, Matthew Simmonds, Marianne Matthee, Matthew Stern
Dialogue
Prof Nicola Viegi on evaluating the near future of monetary policy in SA: Sailing into ...
Only three times in the last century has monetary policy been re-ev...
Published: 1 July 2021
Nicola Viegi
Podcast
Part 1: Monetary policy and Covid-19 in South Africa
The discussion is based on Sailing into the Wind: evaluating the (n...
Published: 1 July 2021
Matthew Simmonds, Nicola Viegi, Mamokete Lijane, Konstantin Makrelov, Gina Schoeman
Dialogue
‘Learning to export’ and ‘learning to innovate’: Revisiting the relationship between in...
This paper examines the relationship between innovation and export ...
Published: 10 May 2021
Fiona Tregenna, Elvis K. Avenyo, Kwanele Ngwadleka
Working Paper
Dr Rossouw van Jaarsveld on developing a forex network model: how to highlight risk tra...
Have you ever wondered how sensitive the South African Rand is to s...
Published: 7 May 2021
Rossouw van Jaarsveld
Podcast
Sailing into the Wind: evaluating the (near) future of Monetary Policy in South Africa
Policy Paper 25 This paper evaluates the main challenges facing Sou...
Published: 9 April 2021
Nicola Viegi, Tumisang Loate, Ekaterina Pirozhkova
Policy Paper
Dr Daan Steenkamp on forecasting GDP: why trucks matter in SA
In our second podcast with Dr Daan Steenkamp, a lead economist at t...
Published: 19 March 2021
Daan Steenkamp
Podcast
Isaah Mhlanga on SA’s Budget Speech: adopting a business-friendly approach
After the challenges raised by Covid-19 and the increasing risks co...
Published: 5 March 2021
Isaah Mhlanga
Podcast
Social distancing in macroeconomic models
The paper introduces voluntary social distancing to the canonical e...
Published: 8 January 2021
Yoseph Y. Getachew
Working Paper
Quantitative Easing' and central bank asset purchases in South Africa: A DSGE approach
This paper develops a small open-economy (SOE) dynamic stochastic g...
Published: 30 November 2020
Cobus Vermeulen
Working Paper
Dr Daan Steenkamp on nowcasting: how economists benefit from machine learning and big data
With the unprecedented level of uncertainty in the economy, the abi...
Published: 30 October 2020
Daan Steenkamp
Podcast
Dr Chris Loewald on Lockdown Learnings: monetary policy leeway during a pandemic
Shortly after the October MPR, ERSA’s host sat down with Dr Chris L...
Published: 16 October 2020
Chris Loewald
Podcast
The impact of AGOA on export flows from sub-Saharan Africa: A dynamic system GMM analysis
This study seeks to understand the relationship between the United ...
Published: 6 October 2020
Paul Alagidede, Oro Ufuo
Working Paper
Policy Bulletin 02: Reflections on Aspects of Public Finance and Fiscal Policy in South...
After the COVID-19 crisis is over, South Africa will face a fiscal ...
Published: 12 September 2020
Estian Calitz
Policy Bulletin
Examining the determinants of electricity demand by South African households per income...
For the period 1975 – 2016, this paper examines the determina...
Published: 4 September 2020
Roula Inglesi-Lotz, Jessika A. Bohlmann
Working Paper
A Sequence to Reverse Poverty: Institutions, State Capacity and Human Empowerment
This paper explores the fundamental or deep causes of poverty persi...
Published: 3 September 2020
Sansia Blackmore, Reneé van Eyden
Working Paper
Part 2: Financing the budget in the post-Corona world
Matthew delves into what financing the budget deficit in the post-C...
Published: 26 August 2020
Brian Kantor, Matthew Simmonds, Xavier Debrun, Tshepiso Moahloli, Owen Willcox, Mamokete Lijane, Lucio Castro, Ian Stuart
Dialogue
A fiscus for better economic and social development in South Africa
After showing that the bulk of government expenditure is unproducti...
Published: 12 August 2020
Francois J. Stofberg, Jan H. van Heerden, Heinrich R. Bohlmann
Working Paper
Part 1: Understanding the concept of "fiscal sustainability" in the post-Corona world
Debt sustainability is equivalent to government solvency and from a...
Published: 7 August 2020
Tshepiso Moahloli, Owen Willcox, Ian Stuart, Mamokete Lijane, Brian Kantor, Xavier Debrun, Lucio Castro
Dialogue
Policy Bulletin 03: Macroeconomic policy options for a savings constrained economy: the...
Economic growth requires delivering a credible fiscal consolidation...
Published: 1 July 2020
David Faulkner, Christopher Loewald, Konstantin Makrelov
Policy Bulletin
Dr David Fowkes on QE and central bank balance sheet policies: Does South Africa have ‘...
Shortly after the Governor of the SARB gave his speech about the fu...
Published: 26 June 2020
David Fowkes
Podcast
Prof Johannes W. Fedderke on the South African – US sovereign bond spread: how is this ...
In this podcast, Prof. Johannes W. Fedderke, the Director of ERSA s...
Published: 29 May 2020
Johannes W. Fedderke
Podcast
Nicola Viegi on the South African economic response to the Coronavirus: policies and pr...
Nicola Viegi, Deputy Director of ERSA, talks with Margaux G on the ...
Published: 8 April 2020
Nicola Viegi
Podcast
Fiscal Rules and the Compliance debate: Why do Countries adopt Rules and fail to comply?
We study the compliance with fiscal rules via various national nume...
Published: 1 April 2020
Martin W. Nandelenga, Mark J. Ellyne
Working Paper
The Global Transmission of U.S. Monetary Policy
This paper studies the transmission of US monetary shocks across th...
Published: 30 March 2020
Seokki S. Hong, Riccardo Degasperi, Giovanni Ricco
Working Paper
Inequality in South Africa: what does a composite index of wellbeing reveal?
Policymakers need better information regarding wellbeing inequality...
Published: 18 September 2019
Talita Dalton-Greyling, Stephanié Rossouw
Working Paper
The effectiveness of counter-cyclical loan-to-value regulations: generic versus sector-...
This paper considers the implications of the counter-cyclical loan-...
Published: 16 August 2019
Thabang Molisey, Guangling Dave Liu
Working Paper
The role of the rand as a shock absorber
This paper investigates the impact of rand shocks on industry outpu...
Published: 23 July 2019
Luchelle Soobyah, Daan Steenkamp
Working Paper
Productivity estimates for South Africa from CES production functions
This paper provides estimates of the elasticity of substitution and...
Published: 19 July 2019
Daan Steenkamp
Working Paper
Determinants of tax revenue performance in the Southern African Development Community (...
This paper investigates the determinants of tax revenue performance...
Published: 22 August 2018
Tendai Gwatidzo, Michael Ade, Jannie Rossouw
Working Paper
Impact of macroeconomic announcements on foreign exchange volatility: Evidence from Sou...
This study focuses on scheduled macroeconomic news announcements an...
Published: 14 June 2018
Tseke Maserumule, Paul Alagidede
Working Paper

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