Other Macroeconomic Variables | Economic Research Southern Africa

Keyword: Other Macroeconomic Variables

Why SA isn’t getting the growth it needs

The Covid Project — a research project to assess SA’s economic pros...

Claire Bisseker

Business Live

The bond market impact of the South African Reserve Bank bond purchase programme

We use a unique dataset comprising over a million trades and quotes...

Roy Havemann, Rossouw van Jaarsveld, Henk Janse van Vuuren, Daan Steenkamp

Working Paper

Equivalence scales with endogeneity and base independence

This study estimates food budget share equations to calculate house...

Steven F. Koch

Working Paper

Measuring and testing a modified version of the South African financial cycle

This study reports on measuring and testing of a Composite Financia...

Paul F. Muzindutsi, Malibongwe C. Nyati, Christian K. Tipoy

Working Paper

Dr Matthew Stern on understanding South Africa’s trade policy and performance

An issue often overlooked in many discussions is that of exports an...

Margaux Giannaros, Matthew Stern

Podcast

Part 3: International perspectives and South Africa’s trade policy

The discussion is based on two papers: and Understanding South Afr...

Sherman Robinson, Montford Mlachila, Matthew Simmonds, Marianne Matthee, Matthew Stern

Dialogue

Prof Nicola Viegi on evaluating the near future of monetary policy in SA: Sailing into ...

Only three times in the last century has monetary policy been re-ev...

Margaux Giannaros, Nicola Viegi

Podcast

Part 1: Monetary policy and Covid-19 in South Africa

The discussion is based on Sailing into the Wind: evaluating the (n...

Matthew Simmonds, Nicola Viegi, Mamokete Lijane, Konstantin Makrelov, Gina Schoeman

Dialogue

‘Learning to export’ and ‘learning to innovate’: Revisiting the relationship between in...

This paper examines the relationship between innovation and export ...

Fiona Tregenna, Elvis K. Avenyo, Kwanele Ngwadleka

Working Paper

Dr Rossouw van Jaarsveld on developing a forex network model: how to highlight risk tra...

Have you ever wondered how sensitive the South African Rand is to s...

Margaux Giannaros, Rossouw van Jaarsveld

Podcast

Sailing into the Wind: evaluating the (near) future of Monetary Policy in South Africa

Policy Paper 25 This paper evaluates the main challenges facing Sou...

Nicola Viegi, Tumisang Loate-Ntsoko, Ekaterina Pirozhkova

Policy Paper

Dr Daan Steenkamp on forecasting GDP: why trucks matter in SA

In our second podcast with Dr Daan Steenkamp, a lead economist at t...

Margaux Giannaros, Daan Steenkamp

Podcast

Isaah Mhlanga on SA’s Budget Speech: adopting a business-friendly approach

After the challenges raised by Covid-19 and the increasing risks co...

Margaux Giannaros, Isaah Mhlanga

Podcast

The effectiveness of counter-cyclical loan-to-value regulations: generic versus sector-...

This paper considers the implication of the counter-cyclical loan-t...

Guangling Liu

Working Paper

Social distancing in macroeconomic models

The paper introduces voluntary social distancing to the canonical e...

Yoseph Y. Getachew

Working Paper

Transhumant Pastoralism, Climate Change and Conflict in Africa

We consider the effects of climate change on seasonally migrant pop...

Nathan Nunn, Eoin F. McGuirk

Working Paper

Quantitative Easing' and central bank asset purchases in South Africa: A DSGE approach

This paper develops a small open-economy (SOE) dynamic stochastic g...

Cobus Vermeulen

Working Paper

Dr Daan Steenkamp on nowcasting: how economists benefit from machine learning and big data

With the unprecedented level of uncertainty in the economy, the abi...

Margaux Giannaros, Daan Steenkamp

Podcast

Dr Chris Loewald on Lockdown Learnings: monetary policy leeway during a pandemic

Shortly after the October MPR, ERSA’s host sat down with Dr Chris L...

Margaux Giannaros, Christopher Loewald

Podcast

The impact of AGOA on export flows from sub-Saharan Africa: A dynamic system GMM analysis

This study seeks to understand the relationship between the United ...

Paul Alagidede, Oro Ufuo

Working Paper

Policy Bulletin 02: Reflections on Aspects of Public Finance and Fiscal Policy in South...

After the COVID-19 crisis is over, South Africa will face a fiscal ...

Estian Calitz

Policy Bulletin

Examining the determinants of electricity demand by South African households per income...

For the period 1975 – 2016, this paper examines the determina...

Roula Inglesi-Lotz, Jessika A. Bohlmann

Working Paper

A Sequence to Reverse Poverty: Institutions, State Capacity and Human Empowerment

This paper explores the fundamental or deep causes of poverty persi...

Sansia Blackmore, Reneé van Eyden

Working Paper

Part 2: Financing the budget in the post-Corona world

Matthew delves into what financing the budget deficit in the post-C...

Brian Kantor, Matthew Simmonds, Xavier Debrun, Tshepiso Moahloli, Owen Willcox, Mamokete Lijane, Lucio Castro, Ian Stuart

Dialogue

A fiscus for better economic and social development in South Africa

After showing that the bulk of government expenditure is unproducti...

Francois J. Stofberg, Jan H. van Heerden, Heinrich R. Bohlmann

Working Paper

Part 1: Understanding the concept of "fiscal sustainability" in the post-Corona world

Debt sustainability is equivalent to government solvency and from a...

Tshepiso Moahloli, Owen Willcox, Ian Stuart, Mamokete Lijane, Brian Kantor, Xavier Debrun, Lucio Castro

Dialogue

Policy Bulletin 03: Macroeconomic policy options for a savings constrained economy: the...

Economic growth requires delivering a credible fiscal consolidation...

David Faulkner, Christopher Loewald, Konstantin Makrelov

Policy Bulletin

Dr David Fowkes on QE and central bank balance sheet policies: Does South Africa have ‘...

Shortly after the Governor of the SARB gave his speech about the fu...

Margaux Giannaros, David Fowkes

Podcast

Prof Johannes W. Fedderke on the South African – US sovereign bond spread: how is this ...

In this podcast, Prof. Johannes W. Fedderke, the Director of ERSA s...

Margaux Giannaros, Johannes W. Fedderke

Podcast

Nicola Viegi on the South African economic response to the Coronavirus: policies and pr...

Nicola Viegi, Deputy Director of ERSA, talks with Margaux G on the ...

Margaux Giannaros, Nicola Viegi

Podcast

Fiscal Rules and the Compliance debate: Why do Countries adopt Rules and fail to comply?

We study the compliance with fiscal rules via various national nume...

Martin W. Nandelenga, Mark J. Ellyne

Working Paper

The Global Transmission of U.S. Monetary Policy

This paper studies the transmission of US monetary shocks across th...

Seokki S. Hong, Riccardo Degasperi, Giovanni Ricco

Working Paper

Inequality in South Africa: what does a composite index of wellbeing reveal?

Policymakers need better information regarding wellbeing inequality...

Talita Dalton-Greyling, Stephanié Rossouw

Working Paper

The effectiveness of counter-cyclical loan-to-value regulations: generic versus sector-...

This paper considers the implications of the counter-cyclical loan-...

Thabang Molisey, Guangling Liu

Working Paper

The role of the rand as a shock absorber

This paper investigates the impact of rand shocks on industry outpu...

Luchelle Soobyah, Daan Steenkamp

Working Paper

Productivity estimates for South Africa from CES production functions

This paper provides estimates of the elasticity of substitution and...

Daan Steenkamp

Working Paper