Inflation | Economic Research Southern Africa

Keyword: Inflation

Lower inflation to help unlock credit

Economic Note

Christopher Loewald

Economic Note

Bradley Kent on SA's S&P Credit Rating 2023

ERSA’s own Bradley Kent chats to Hot102.7 FM’s Hot Busi...

Bradley Kent

Hot102.7 FM

The South African sovereign term premium and its drivers

Discussion Document 15 South Africa’s sovereign yield curve is one ...

Ruan Erasmus, Daan Steenkamp

Discussion Document

Request for Proposals: Back to inflation

Back to inflation In the wake of the global financial crisis (GFC),...

Call for Work

What do we expect from the MTBPS?

Prior to last year’s Medium Term Budget Policy Statement (MTBPS) th...

Margaux Giannaros, Isaah Mhlanga

Podcast

Presentation: The consumer price effects of specific trade policy restrictions in South...

Since 2010, various trade measures have been imposed to protect Sou...

Lawrence Edwards

Workshop Presentation

Presentation: Tariffs on basic foods: Evolution and impacts

Since 2010, various trade measures have been imposed to protect Sou...

Neva S. Makgetla

Workshop Presentation

Trade policy: Clipping South Africa’s wings

Since 2010, various trade measures have been imposed to protect Sou...

Event: 19 July 2023

Ayabonga Cawe, Yash Ramkolowan, Sifiso Mahlaba, Lawrence Edwards, Matthew Stern, Neva S. Makgetla

Seminar

Import tariff pass-through effect and the spatial distribution of domestic consumer go...

Working Paper 879 The study of import tariffs pass-through has been...

Haroon Bhorat, Everisto Mugocha

Working Paper

Tough choices will remain for SA when unearned respite fades

SA has been a relatively good story in the emerging-market world si...

Isaah Mhlanga

Business Day

Big data forecasting of South African inflation

We investigate whether the use of machine learning techniques and b...

Rulof P. Burger, Neil Rankin, Kevin Kotze, Byron Botha

Working Paper

Isaah Mhlanga on a positive MTBPS: getting to know Finance Minister Enoch Godongwana

After our new Finance Minister Enoch Godongwana delivered his first...

Margaux Giannaros, Isaah Mhlanga

Podcast

Prof Nicola Viegi on evaluating the near future of monetary policy in SA: Sailing into ...

Only three times in the last century has monetary policy been re-ev...

Margaux Giannaros, Nicola Viegi

Podcast

Part 1: Monetary policy and Covid-19 in South Africa

The discussion is based on Sailing into the Wind: evaluating the (n...

Matthew Simmonds, Nicola Viegi, Mamokete Lijane, Konstantin Makrelov, Gina Schoeman

Dialogue

Sailing into the Wind: evaluating the (near) future of Monetary Policy in South Africa

Policy Paper 25 This paper evaluates the main challenges facing Sou...

Nicola Viegi, Tumisang Loate-Ntsoko, Ekaterina Pirozhkova

Policy Paper

Dr Chris Loewald on Lockdown Learnings: monetary policy leeway during a pandemic

Shortly after the October MPR, ERSA’s host sat down with Dr Chris L...

Margaux Giannaros, Christopher Loewald

Podcast

Part 2: Financing the budget in the post-Corona world

Matthew delves into what financing the budget deficit in the post-C...

Brian Kantor, Matthew Simmonds, Xavier Debrun, Tshepiso Moahloli, Owen Willcox, Mamokete Lijane, Lucio Castro, Ian Stuart

Dialogue

Monetary policy and inequality

South Africa is one of the most unequal countries in the world and ...

Neryvia Pillay Bell

Policy Brief

Dr David Fowkes on QE and central bank balance sheet policies: Does South Africa have ‘...

Shortly after the Governor of the SARB gave his speech about the fu...

Margaux Giannaros, David Fowkes

Podcast

Prof Johannes W. Fedderke on the South African – US sovereign bond spread: how is this ...

In this podcast, Prof. Johannes W. Fedderke, the Director of ERSA s...

Margaux Giannaros, Johannes W. Fedderke

Podcast

Chris Loewald on the Monetary Policy response to the Coronavirus pandemic in South Afri...

Amidst the Coronavirus Pandemic and an economic downgrade, we speak...

Margaux Giannaros, Christopher Loewald

Podcast

Policy regime changes and central bank prefernces

This paper establishes whether central bank preferences are related...

Samuel Addo

Working Paper

The Reaction of Inflation to Macroeconomic Shocks: The Case of Zimbabwe (2009 – 2012)

This paper empirically investigates the reaction of inflation to ma...

William Kavila, Pierre Le Roux

Working Paper

What price level data tells us about consumer price rigidity in Zimbabwe: Evidence from...

Sometimes countries adopt new currencies which are not their own as...

Neil Rankin, Mike Nyawo

Policy Brief

Inflation dynamics in a dollarised economy: the case for Zimbabwe

The rapid and sustained loss in value of the Zimbabwean dollar, whi...

Pierre Le Roux, William Kavila

Policy Brief

Estimating a Philipps Curve for South Africa: A Bounded Random Walk Approach

Introduction The Phillips curve depicts the relationship between cu...

Modeste Some, Eric Schaling, Alain Kabundi

Policy Brief

Inflation Dynamics in a Dollarised Economy: The Case of Zimbabwe

This paper explores the dynamics of inflation in the dollarised Zim...

William Kavila, Pierre Le Roux

Working Paper

Inflation in South Africa: An Assessment of Alternative Inflation Models

We consider the relative empirical performance of a range of inflat...

Johannes W. Fedderke, Yang Liu

Working Paper

An analysis of the accuracy of South Africa's inflation figures since 1922

This paper assesses the accuracy of South African inflation data si...

Jannie Rossouw

Working Paper

Inflation, growth and employment in South Africa: Trends and trade-offs

It is often publicly contended that overly strict application of in...

Cobus Vermeulen

Working Paper

Financial sector development and threshold effect of inflation in ECOWAS and SADC: A Pa...

The financial sector of an economy is now widely agreed to constitu...

Sulemana Mahawiya

Working Paper

Financial sector development, inflation and openness: A comparative panel study of ECOW...

This paper provides an empirical analysis of the comparative study ...

Sulemana Mahawiya

Working Paper

Macroeconomic Uncertainty in South Africa

This paper develops a new index of economic uncertainty for South A...

Chris Redl

Working Paper

Optimal Monetary Policy with Learning by Doing

I study the implications of learning by doing in production for opt...

Chris Redl

Working Paper

Price setting behaviour in Lesotho: Stylised facts from consumer retail prices

This paper documents some of the main features of price setting beh...

Mamello A. Nchake, Neil Rankin, Lawrence Edwards

Working Paper

Inflation and Economic Growth: Evidence from the Southern African Development Countries

In this paper we investigate the role of inflation rates in determi...

Reneé van Eyden, Monaheng Seleteng, Manoel Bittencourt

Working Paper