Business Cycle | Economic Research Southern Africa

Keyword: Business Cycle

Measuring the Financial Cycle in South Africa

We measure the financial cycle in South Africa using three differen...

Esti Kemp, Greg Farrell

Policy Brief

Macroprudential policy and foreign interest rate shocks: A comparison of different inst...

This paper presents a generic small open economy real business cycl...

Guangling Liu, Chris Garbers

Working Paper

Is There A SADC Business Cycle: Evidence from Dynamic Factor Model

Countries that are successfully executing trade and economic libera...

Ntokozo P. Nzimande, Harold P. E. Ngawala

Policy Brief

Can bank capital adequacy changes amplify the business cycle in South Africa?

The phenomenon of bank regulation procyclicality requires very care...

Sylvanus Ikhide, Foluso Akinsola

Policy Brief

South Africa's real business cycles: The cycle is the trend

It has been argued that business cycles in emerging economies are s...

Leroi Raputsoane, Hilary Patroba

Policy Brief

Is There a SADC Business Cycle? Evidence from a Dynamic Factor Model

Countries that adopt a common currency automatically relinquish the...

Ntokozo P. Nzimande, Harold P. E. Ngawala

Working Paper

Financial sector development, economic volatility and shocks in sub-Saharan Africa

The role of financial sector development in economic volatility has...

Paul Alagidede, Muazu Ibrahim

Policy Brief

Credit market heterogeneity, balance sheet (in) dependence, financial shocks

This paper presents a real business cycle model with financial fric...

Chris Garbers, Guangling Liu

Working Paper

Comovement between Africa and advanced economies, 1980-2011

This paper addresses that gap by analyzing business cycle comovemen...

Alain Kabundi, Elsabé Loots, Carike Claassen

Policy Brief

Can currency in circulation predict South African economic activity?

The forecasting of economic activity is of interest to governments,...

Jannie Rossouw, Fanie Joubert, Cobus Vermeulen, Adél Bosch

Policy Brief

Comovement Between Africa and Advanced Economies: 1980-2011

This paper analyses business cycle comovement between African econo...

Elsabé Loots, Carike Claassen, Alain Kabundi

Working Paper

An alternative business cycle dating procedure for South Africa

This paper applies a Markov switching model to the South African ec...

Franz Ruch, Adél Bosch

Working Paper

Ship traffic and the economy of the Cape Colony: 1652-1793

Most historians regard the Cape Colony of the seventeenth and eight...

Willem H. Boshoff, Johan Fourie

Working Paper

Reconsidering the business cycle and stabilisation policies in South Africa

This paper applies an alternative dating algorithm – suggeste...

Stan Du Plessis

Working Paper