Home

>

Social mobility during South Africa’s industrial take-off

22 June 2016
Publication Type: Working Paper
JEL Code: J60, J61, J62, N30, N37

In the absence of historical income or education data, the change in occupations over time can be used as a measure of social mobility. This paper investigates intergenerational occupational mobility using a novel genealogical dataset for settler South Africa, spanning its transition from an agricultural to an early industrialized society (1800–1909). We identify fathers and sons for whom we have complete information on occupational attainment. We follow a two-generation discrete approach to measure changes in both absolute and relative mobility over time. Consistent with qualitative evidence of a shift away from agriculture as the economy’s dominant sector, we see the farming class shrinking and the skilled and professional classes growing. Controlling for changes in the structure of the labor market over time, we find increasing upward social mobility, becoming significant following the discovery of minerals in 1868. We find this mobility particularly for semi-skilled workers but virtually no improved mobility for sons of farmers. We also test hypotheses related to the mobility prospects for first-born sons and sons of immigrants.

Working paper 617
1 June 2016
SHARE THIS Working Paper PUBLICATION:

Related The Covid Project Publications

COVID-19 and the South African Economy
Discussion Document 02 As South Africa looks to navigate itself out...
Published: 1 September 2022
Discussion Document
Building a competitive and dynamic green industrial sector in South Africa after COVID-19
Policy Paper 28 COVID-19 gave the world a glimpse of how devastatin...
Published: 28 June 2021
Policy Paper
Addressing low labour utilisation in South Africa
Policy Paper 27 South Africa’s stubbornly low labour utilisation ra...
Published: 28 June 2021
Policy Paper
Understanding South Africa’s trade policy and performance
Policy Paper 26 South Africa’s exports have lagged behind the rest ...
Published: 28 June 2021
Policy Paper
Sailing into the Wind: evaluating the (near) future of Monetary Policy in South Africa
Policy Paper 25 This paper evaluates the main challenges facing Sou...
Published: 9 April 2021
Policy Paper
Financial Statecraft: Government Choice of Debt Instruments
We explore the diversity of means by which governments borrow ̵...
Published: 24 June 2020
Working Paper
Labour market and monetary policy in South Africa
Unemployment is the defining characteristic of the South African ec...
Published: 29 September 2015
Policy Brief