Working Paper | Economic Research Southern Africa

Publication Type: Working Paper

Unleashing International Trade through Financial Integration: Evidence from a Cross- Bo...

Working Paper 890 Leveraging administrative firm-level data on t...

Vinicios Sant’Anna, Gustavo S. Cortes, Lucas A. Mariani

Working Paper

Tax effort and capacity in developing countries: Unravelling the impact of the informal...

Working paper 889 This study focuses on estimating the tax effort i...

Ezekiel Lengaram

Working Paper

Banks’ Physical Footprint and Financial Technology Adoption

Working Paper 888 Do physical bank branches moderate the diffusion ...

Bernardo Ricca, Lucas A. Mariani, José Renato H. Ornelas

Working Paper

Possible Welfare Benefits of a Basic Income Support: Evidence from a benefit incidence ...

Working Paper 886 The study investigates the potential welfare effe...

Nicky Nicholls, Kehinde O. Omotoso, Eleni Yitbarek, Ramos Mabugu, Margaret Chitiga-Mabugu, Carolyn Chisadza

Working Paper

International Lending Channel, Bank Heterogeneity and Capital Inflows (Mis)Allocation

Working Paper 887 This paper explores the role of banks’ heterogene...

Silvia Marchesi, Lucas A. Mariani

Working Paper

A review of the strategies adopted between 2015 and 2022 towards two South African loca...

Working Paper 885 This paper reviews combined local and national go...

Marius van der Merwe, Stephen G. Hosking

Working Paper

Demographic changes and asset prices in an overlapping generations model

Working Paper 884 We examine the effect of demographic shifts on as...

Ghislain H. Demeze-Jouatsa, Frank Riedel, Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne

Working Paper

Sanctioned quotas vs information provisioning for community wildlife conservation in Zi...

We investigate the behavioural responses of resource users to polic...

Anne-Sophie Crépin, Herbert Ntuli, Edwin Muchapondwa, Caroline Schill

Journal Publication

Modelling required energy consumption with equivalence

This study proposes an equivalence scale model for required energy ...

Yuxiang Ye, Steven F. Koch, Jiangfeng Zhang

Working Paper

Why and how to measure the contribution of South Africa’s ocean economy

This paper articulates why it is important to measure the contribut...

Odwa Mtati, Stephen G. Hosking

Working Paper

Local-Currency sovereign risk on South African government bonds

While local-currency bond markets have become a dominant source of ...

Mulalo Mamburu

Working Paper

Technical background paper: The macroeconomics of establishing a basic income grant in ...

Working Paper 881 This paper quantifies the effect of fiscal transf...

Roy Havemann, Hylton Hollander, Daan Steenkamp

Working Paper

Characteristics of the South African retirement fund industry

Using administrative data, we examine three characteristics of the ...

Neryvia Pillay Bell, Johannes W. Fedderke

Working Paper

Import tariff pass-through effect and the spatial distribution of domestic consumer go...

The study of import tariffs pass-through has been observed to be cr...

Haroon Bhorat, Everisto Mugocha

Working Paper

Does 'price framing' influence empirical estimates in Discrete Choice Experiments: The ...

The approach and survey used to examine non-market value in a state...

Milan Scasny, Lydia Chikumbi

Working Paper

The long-term effects of early-life exposure to weather shocks: Evidence from Tanzania

We examine whether early-life exposure to rainfall shocks has a lon...

Ermias G. Weldesenbet

Working Paper

Climate change and child health: A Nigerian perspective

The detrimental effect of climate change on health is becoming an e...

Matthew W. Clance, Eleni Yitbarek, Eduard van der Merwe

Working Paper

The bond market impact of the South African Reserve Bank bond purchase programme

We use a unique dataset comprising over a million trades and quotes...

Roy Havemann, Rossouw van Jaarsveld, Henk Janse van Vuuren, Daan Steenkamp

Working Paper

Revisiting the accuracy of inflation forecasts in Nigeria: The oil price-exchange rate-...

Motivated by the distinctive paradoxical nature of the Nigerian eco...

Yusuf Yakubua, Ojo Adelakun, Kazeem Isah, Elias Udeaja, Abdulkader C. Mahomedy

Working Paper

Equivalence scales with endogeneity and base independence

This study estimates food budget share equations to calculate house...

Steven F. Koch

Working Paper

Big data forecasting of South African inflation

We investigate whether the use of machine learning techniques and b...

Rulof P. Burger, Neil Rankin, Kevin Kotze, Byron Botha

Working Paper

Contagion across financial markets during COVID-19: A look at volatility spillovers bet...

The onset of the novel coronavirus pandemic (COVID-19) and previous...

Reneé van Eyden, Goodness C. Aye, Chevaughn van der Westhuizen

Working Paper

Does the uptake of multiple climate smart agriculture practices enhance household savin...

Climate change and variability poses a significant hindrance on agr...

Herbert Ntuli, Gibson Mudiriza, Edwin Muchapondwa, Boscow Okumu, Alfred K. Mukong

Working Paper

Measuring and testing a modified version of the South African financial cycle

This study reports on measuring and testing of a Composite Financia...

Paul F. Muzindutsi, Malibongwe C. Nyati, Christian K. Tipoy

Working Paper

Government religious preference and intrastate conflict

Understanding the causes and consequences of conflicts continues to...

Matthew W. Clance, Eduard van der Merwe, Carolyn Chisadza

Working Paper

Risk and return spillovers in a global model of the Foreign Exchange Network

We developed a network model to capture the dynamic interactions am...

Herbert Ntuli, Gibson Mudiriza, Edwin Muchapondwa, Boscow Okumu, Alfred K. Mukong

Working Paper

Household debt and consumption dynamics: A non-developed world view following the ﬁnanc...

According to recent macroeconomic evidence (Bosch and Koch 2020b; F...

Matthew W. Clance, Steven F. Koch, Adél Bosch

Working Paper

Human capital and the timing of the first birth

This paper constructs and partially characterizes the solution of a...

Jesse Naidoo

Working Paper

Differential corporate taxation and inter-asset investment distortions in South Africa

South Africa has since the 1990’s actively reformed its corpo...

Mashekwa Maboshe, Matthew Stern, Yash Ramkolowan

Working Paper

Corporate taxation and firm-level investment in South Africa

This paper investigates the responsiveness of firm-level investment...

Mashekwa Maboshe

Working Paper

Fiscal risks and their impact on banks’ capital buffers in South Africa

South Africa’s fiscal balances have deteriorated significantly over...

Bojosi Morule, Neryvia Pillay Bell, Konstantin Makrelov

Working Paper

‘Learning to export’ and ‘learning to innovate’: Revisiting the relationship between in...

This paper examines the relationship between innovation and export ...

Fiona Tregenna, Elvis K. Avenyo, Kwanele Ngwadleka

Working Paper

Transhumant pastoralism, climate change and conflict in Africa

We consider the effects of climate change on seasonally migrant pop...

Eoin F. McGuirk, Nathan Nunn

Working Paper

The effect of cigarette price changes on smoking prevalence by gender: The case of Sout...

South Africa successfully reduced smoking prevalence by substantial...

Corné van Walbeek, Nicole Vellios, Zachary Gitonga

Working Paper

Income convergence in Southern Africa: A non-linear time-varying coefficients framework

This article investigated income per capita convergence in the Sout...

Ntokozo P. Nzimande

Working Paper

Estimates of bank-level funding costs in South Africa

We develop a new dataset of bank-level balance sheets data to estim...

Daan Steenkamp, Tim Olds

Working Paper