COVID-19 | Economic Research Southern Africa

Keyword: COVID-19

Why SA isn’t getting the growth it needs

The Covid Project — a research project to assess SA’s economic pros...

Claire Bisseker

Business Live

COVID-19 and the South African Economy

Discussion Document 02 As South Africa looks to navigate itself out...

Matthew Stern, Christopher Loewald

Discussion Document

Universal Basic Income: How the experience in developing countries can inform the discu...

Discussion Document 01 This paper considers how the COVID-19 pandem...

Jéssica Gagete-Miranda

Discussion Document

Tough choices will remain for SA when unearned respite fades

SA has been a relatively good story in the emerging-market world si...

Isaah Mhlanga

Business Day

The bond market impact of the South African Reserve Bank bond purchase programme

We use a unique dataset comprising over a million trades and quotes...

Roy Havemann, Rossouw van Jaarsveld, Henk Janse van Vuuren, Daan Steenkamp

Working Paper

Contagion across financial markets during COVID-19: A look at volatility spillovers bet...

The onset of the novel coronavirus pandemic (COVID-19) and previous...

Reneé van Eyden, Goodness C. Aye, Chevaughn van der Westhuizen

Working Paper

Dr Channing Arndt on Building back fairer from the Covid-19 Pandemic in South Africa

Post-pandemic, South Africa’s economy finds itself in a constrained...

Margaux Giannaros, Channing Arndt

Podcast

Isaah Mhlanga on a positive MTBPS: getting to know Finance Minister Enoch Godongwana

After our new Finance Minister Enoch Godongwana delivered his first...

Isaah Mhlanga

Podcast

Part 4: Building back for a sustainable future

The discussion is based on two papers: , by Channing Arndt, Robert ...

Witness Simbanegavi, Matthew Simmonds, IFPRI, GIZ, ERSA, Channing Arndt

Dialogue

Dr Matthew Stern on understanding South Africa’s trade policy and performance

An issue often overlooked in many discussions is that of exports an...

Matthew Stern

Podcast

Part 3: International perspectives and South Africa’s trade policy

The discussion is based on two papers: and Understanding South Afr...

Sherman Robinson, Montford Mlachila, Matthew Simmonds, Marianne Matthee, Matthew Stern

Dialogue

Prof Andreas Wörgötter on addressing current and persisting challenges in South Africa’...

At a time when tensions are rising due to growing inequality and un...

Andreas Wörgötter

Podcast

Part 2: Recovery policies and labour utilization

The discussion is based on two research papers: and Addressing low...

Matthew Simmonds, Witness Simbanegavi, Sherwin Gabriel, Romain A. Duval, Murray Leibbrandt, Andreas Wörgötter

Dialogue

Policy Bulletin 05: The impact of global FX liquidity on the rand

The Covid crisis saw significant declines in market liquidity and c...

Tim Olds, Rossouw van Jaarsveld, Daan Steenkamp

Policy Bulletin

Part 1: Monetary policy and Covid-19 in South Africa

The discussion is based on Sailing into the Wind: evaluating the (n...

Matthew Simmonds, Nicola Viegi, Mamokete Lijane, Konstantin Makrelov, Gina Schoeman

Dialogue

Building a competitive and dynamic green industrial sector in South Africa after COVID-19

Policy Paper 28 COVID-19 gave the world a glimpse of how devastatin...

Tendai Gwatidzo, Witness Simbanegavi

Policy Paper

Addressing low labour utilisation in South Africa

Policy Paper 27 South Africa’s stubbornly low labour utilisation ra...

Christopher Loewald, Konstantin Makrelov, Andreas Wörgötter

Policy Paper

Understanding South Africa’s trade policy and performance

Policy Paper 26 South Africa’s exports have lagged behind the rest ...

Matthew Stern, Yash Ramkolowan

Policy Paper

Fiscal risks and their impact on banks’ capital buffers in South Africa

South Africa’s fiscal balances have deteriorated significantly over...

Bojosi Morule, Neryvia Pillay Bell, Konstantin Makrelov

Working Paper

Isaah Mhlanga on permanent spending habits: what to listen for while politicians campaign

It is not often that a country has an opportunity to allocate windf...

Isaah Mhlanga

Podcast

Sailing into the Wind: evaluating the (near) future of Monetary Policy in South Africa

Policy Paper 25 This paper evaluates the main challenges facing Sou...

Nicola Viegi, Tumisang Loate, Ekaterina Pirozhkova

Policy Paper

Estimates of bank-level funding costs in South Africa

We develop a new dataset of bank-level balance sheets data to estim...

Daan Steenkamp, Tim Olds

Working Paper

Impact of technological progress on carbon emissions in different country income groups

This study examines the complex relationship between carbon emissio...

Roula Inglesi-Lotz, Chris B. Milindi

Working Paper

Isaah Mhlanga on SA Budget 2021: Good news from SA’s 2020 Monetary and Fiscal Policy De...

Joining ERSA’s host in this podcast is Isaah Mhlanga, a Chief Econo...

Isaah Mhlanga

Podcast

Health inequality and the 1918 Influenza in South Africa

The 1918 influenza – the Spanish ﬂu – killed an estimated 6% of Sou...

Jonathan Jayes, Johan Fourie

Working Paper

Estimating a New Keynesian Wage Phillips Curve

This paper estimates a New Keynesian Wage Phillips Curve for South ...

Nicola Viegi, Vincent Dadam

Working Paper

Social distancing in macroeconomic models

The paper introduces voluntary social distancing to the canonical e...

Yoseph Y. Getachew

Working Paper

Dr Daan Steenkamp on nowcasting: how economists benefit from machine learning and big data

With the unprecedented level of uncertainty in the economy, the abi...

Daan Steenkamp

Podcast

Prof Scott Baker on measuring economic policy uncertainty: yes, measuring uncertainty

Levels of uncertainty have existed throughout time yet measuring un...

Scott Baker

Podcast

Dr Chris Loewald on Lockdown Learnings: monetary policy leeway during a pandemic

Shortly after the October MPR, ERSA’s host sat down with Dr Chris L...

Podcast

Isaah Mhlanga on why South Africa’s unemployment rate went down this Covid-Quarter

In this podcast, ERSA’s host speaks to Isaah Mhlanga, a Chief Econo...

Isaah Mhlanga

Podcast

Policy Bulletin 02: Reflections on Aspects of Public Finance and Fiscal Policy in South...

After the COVID-19 crisis is over, South Africa will face a fiscal ...

Estian Calitz

Policy Bulletin

Part 4: Towards a fiscal policy that supports economic recovery while achieving sustain...

Drawing on the discussions in the previous 3 sessions, session 4 wi...

Matthew Simmonds, Ricardo Hausmann, Laurence Harris, Johannes W. Fedderke, Federico Sturzenegger, Abebe Selassie

Dialogue

Part 3: The role of fiscal policy in the post-Corona economic recovery

South Africa has a comparably large government sector, and the choi...

Christopher Loewald, Matthew Simmonds, Xavier Debrun, Mamokete Lijane, Gilad Isaacs, Federico Sturzenegger, Andrew Donaldson

Dialogue

Part 2: Financing the budget in the post-Corona world

Matthew delves into what financing the budget deficit in the post-C...

Brian Kantor, Matthew Simmonds, Xavier Debrun, Tshepiso Moahloli, Owen Willcox, Mamokete Lijane, Lucio Castro, Ian Stuart

Dialogue

Part 1: Understanding the concept of "fiscal sustainability" in the post-Corona world

Debt sustainability is equivalent to government solvency and from a...

Tshepiso Moahloli, Owen Willcox, Ian Stuart, Mamokete Lijane, Brian Kantor, Xavier Debrun, Lucio Castro

Dialogue