Journal publications

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Efficiency of provincial public healthcare in South Africa

Victor Ngobeni, Marthinus C. Breitenbach and Goodness C. Aye
Background Forty-nine million people or 83 per cent of the entire population of 59 million rely on the public healthcare system in South Africa. Coupled with a shortage of medical professionals, high migration, inequality and unemployment; healthcare provision is under extreme pressure. Due to...
Feb 2020
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Is Basel III counter-cyclical: The case of South Africa?

Guangling Liu and Thabang Molise
This paper develops a dynamic general equilibrium model with banking and a macro-prudential authority, and studies the extent to which the Basel III bank capital regulation promotes financial and macroeconomic stability in the context of South African economy. The decomposition analysis of the...
Aug 2018
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Realized correlations, betas and volatility spillover in the commodity market: What has changed?

Matteo Bonato
This papers adopts the recently proposed realized Beta GARCH model of Hansen et al. (J. Appl. Econ. (2014)) to examine the changes in price and return dynamics that affected the commodity market during the 2007-2008 boom and bust. We provide evidence that, starting from 2006, realized correlations...
Oct 2016
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Factors influencing people’s perceptions towards conservation of transboundary wildlife resources. The case of the Great-Limpopo Trans-frontier Conservation Area

Herbert Ntuli, Sverker C. Jagers, Edwin Muchapondwa, Amanda Linell, Martin SjÖstedt
Local people’s perceptions of protected areas greatly determine the success of conservation efforts in Southern Africa as these perceptions affect people’s attitudes and behaviour in respect to conservation. As a result, the involvement of local communities in transboundary wildlife conservation is...
Oct 2018
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The J–Curve Phenomenon: Evidence from Commodity Trade Between South Africa and the United States

Hammed Amusa and David Fadiran
Previous studies on the J–curve phenomenon for South Africa have been carried out using either aggregate trade data between South Africa and the rest of the world or between South Africa and her major trading partners. The evidence of J-curve effects in South Africa's bilateral trade have been...
Apr 2019
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The household effects of very large electricity tariff hikes in Zambia

Mashekwa Maboshe, Akabondo Kabechani and Grieve Chelwa
This paper simulates the real household expenditure effects of electricity price increases in Zambia. First, we find that electricity subsidies are highly regressive. Second, our partial equilibrium model simulations of the welfare effects of electricity tariff rises show that poorer households...
Nov 2018
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Teacher Pay and Educational Outcomes: Evidence from the Rural Hardship Allowance in Zambia

Grieve Chelwa, Miquel Pellicer, Mashekwa Maboshe
This paper studies the effect of unconditional teacher salary increases on teacher and student outcomes. To study the issue, we evaluate the rural hardship allowance in Zambia, which corresponds to a salary increase of 20%. This allowance is allocated to schools on the basis of a distance criterion...
Oct 2018
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publication

Is Democracy Eluding Sub-Saharan Africa?

Carolyn Chisadza and Manoel Bittencourt
This paper analyses the modernisation hypothesis in the sub-Saharan African region. Using a sample of 48 countries from 1960 to 2010 and dynamic panel data analysis, we find a significant and negative relationship between income and democracy, an indication that the hypothesis may not hold in the...
Jun 2014
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Birth Order Effects on Educational Attainment and Child Labour: Evidence from Lesotho

Ramaele Moshoeshoe
This paper examines the effect of birth order on educational attainment and child labour in Lesotho. Using family fixed effects models, I find robust negative birth order effects on educational attainment and child labour. The birth order effects on educa tional attainment are in sharp contrast...
Jul 2016
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Regional economic effects of changes in South Africa's electricity generation mix

Bohlmann, H.R., Horridge, J.M., Inglesi-Lotz, R., Roos, E.L. & Stander, L.
This paper examines the long-run regional economic effects within South Africa of changing the electricity-generation mix away from coal. We use a regional CGE model of South Africa to conduct our analysis. The results of our simulations suggest that the effect of the policy is sensitive to other...
Aug 2018
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