Inflation | Economic Research Southern Africa

Keyword: Inflation

Bradley Kent on SA's S&P Credit Rating 2023

ERSA’s own Bradley Kent chats to Hot102.7 FM’s Hot Busi...

Published: 21 November 2023

Hot102.7 FM

The South African sovereign term premium and its drivers

Discussion Document 15 South Africa’s sovereign yield curve is one ...

Published: 15 November 2023

Discussion Document

Request for Proposals: Back to inflation

Back to inflation In the wake of the global financial crisis (GFC),...

Published: 6 November 2023

Call for Work

What do we expect from the MTBPS?

Prior to last year’s Medium Term Budget Policy Statement (MTBPS) th...

Published: 27 October 2023

Podcast

Presentation: The consumer price effects of specific trade policy restrictions in South...

Since 2010, various trade measures have been imposed to protect Sou...

Published: 20 July 2023

Workshop Presentation

Presentation: Tariffs on basic foods: Evolution and impacts

Since 2010, various trade measures have been imposed to protect Sou...

Published: 20 July 2023

Workshop Presentation

Trade policy: Clipping South Africa’s wings

Since 2010, various trade measures have been imposed to protect Sou...

Event: 19 July 2023

Published: 27 June 2023

Seminar

Import tariff pass-through effect and the spatial distribution of domestic consumer go...

The study of import tariffs pass-through has been observed to be cr...

Published: 28 August 2022

Working Paper

Tough choices will remain for SA when unearned respite fades

SA has been a relatively good story in the emerging-market world si...

Published: 16 May 2022

Business Day

Big data forecasting of South African inflation

We investigate whether the use of machine learning techniques and b...

Published: 25 February 2022

Working Paper

Isaah Mhlanga on a positive MTBPS: getting to know Finance Minister Enoch Godongwana

After our new Finance Minister Enoch Godongwana delivered his first...

Published: 12 November 2021

Podcast

Prof Nicola Viegi on evaluating the near future of monetary policy in SA: Sailing into ...

Only three times in the last century has monetary policy been re-ev...

Published: 1 July 2021

Podcast

Part 1: Monetary policy and Covid-19 in South Africa

The discussion is based on Sailing into the Wind: evaluating the (n...

Published: 1 July 2021

Dialogue

Sailing into the Wind: evaluating the (near) future of Monetary Policy in South Africa

Policy Paper 25 This paper evaluates the main challenges facing Sou...

Published: 9 April 2021

Policy Paper

Dr Chris Loewald on Lockdown Learnings: monetary policy leeway during a pandemic

Shortly after the October MPR, ERSA’s host sat down with Dr Chris L...

Published: 16 October 2020

Podcast

Part 2: Financing the budget in the post-Corona world

Matthew delves into what financing the budget deficit in the post-C...

Published: 26 August 2020

Dialogue

Monetary policy and inequality

South Africa is one of the most unequal countries in the world and ...

Published: 30 July 2020

Policy Brief

Dr David Fowkes on QE and central bank balance sheet policies: Does South Africa have ‘...

Shortly after the Governor of the SARB gave his speech about the fu...

Published: 26 June 2020

Podcast

Prof Johannes W. Fedderke on the South African – US sovereign bond spread: how is this ...

In this podcast, Prof. Johannes W. Fedderke, the Director of ERSA s...

Published: 29 May 2020

Podcast

Chris Loewald on the Monetary Policy response to the Coronavirus pandemic in South Afri...

Amidst the Coronavirus Pandemic and an economic downgrade, we speak...

Published: 8 April 2020

Podcast

Policy regime changes and central bank prefernces

This paper establishes whether central bank preferences are related...

Published: 2 July 2018

Working Paper

The Reaction of Inflation to Macroeconomic Shocks: The Case of Zimbabwe (2009 – 2012)

This paper empirically investigates the reaction of inflation to ma...

Published: 1 September 2017

Working Paper

What price level data tells us about consumer price rigidity in Zimbabwe: Evidence from...

Sometimes countries adopt new currencies which are not their own as...

Published: 18 October 2016

Policy Brief

Inflation dynamics in a dollarised economy: the case for Zimbabwe

The rapid and sustained loss in value of the Zimbabwean dollar, whi...

Published: 11 October 2016

Policy Brief

Estimating a Philipps Curve for South Africa: A Bounded Random Walk Approach

Introduction The Phillips curve depicts the relationship between cu...

Published: 24 May 2016

Policy Brief

Inflation Dynamics in a Dollarised Economy: The Case of Zimbabwe

This paper explores the dynamics of inflation in the dollarised Zim...

Published: 19 May 2016

Working Paper

Inflation in South Africa: An Assessment of Alternative Inflation Models

We consider the relative empirical performance of a range of inflat...

Published: 5 April 2016

Working Paper

An analysis of the accuracy of South Africa's inflation figures since 1922

This paper assesses the accuracy of South African inflation data si...

Published: 26 October 2015

Working Paper

Inflation, growth and employment in South Africa: Trends and trade-offs

It is often publicly contended that overly strict application of in...

Published: 14 September 2015

Working Paper

Financial sector development and threshold effect of inflation in ECOWAS and SADC: A Pa...

The financial sector of an economy is now widely agreed to constitu...

Published: 27 August 2015

Working Paper

Financial sector development, inflation and openness: A comparative panel study of ECOW...

This paper provides an empirical analysis of the comparative study ...

Published: 30 June 2015

Working Paper

Macroeconomic Uncertainty in South Africa

This paper develops a new index of economic uncertainty for South A...

Published: 17 March 2015

Working Paper

Optimal Monetary Policy with Learning by Doing

I study the implications of learning by doing in production for opt...

Published: 15 January 2015

Working Paper

Price setting behaviour in Lesotho: Stylised facts from consumer retail prices

This paper documents some of the main features of price setting beh...

Published: 5 February 2014

Working Paper

Inflation and Economic Growth: Evidence from the Southern African Development Countries

In this paper we investigate the role of inflation rates in determi...

Published: 10 January 2014

Working Paper

Inflation and Economic Growth in the SADC: Some Panel Time-Series Evidence

In this paper we investigate the role of inflation rates in determi...

Published: 10 January 2014

Working Paper