Risk Preferences and the Impact of Credit and Insurance on Farm Technology Uptake

We use a series of credit and insurance simulation games to test the role of access to credit and insurance on magnitude and timing of farm technology uptake with small-scale farmers in South Africa. Using Cumulative Prospect Theory, we assess how insurance impacts technology uptake given risk preferences. Our findings suggest that risk aversion is […]

Information Contagion and Systemic Risk

We examine the effect of ex-post information contagion on the ex-ante optimal portfolio choices of banks and the welfare losses due to joint default. Because of counterparty risk and common exposures, bad news about one bank reveals valuable information about another bank, thereby triggering information contagion. Systemic risk is defined as the ex-ante probability of […]

Deriving a theoretically defensible measure of risk

According to economic theory, risk is a central consideration in financial decision-making. In practice, though, it is difficult to quantify the uncertainty faced by investors, particularly if the aim is to present a risk measure that is consistent with economic theory, is objective and can be replicated.