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South Africa

Publication

How does a change in the excise tax on beer impact beer retail prices in South Africa?

Caitlan Russell and Corne van Walbeek
This paper uses price data, collected by Statistics South Africa, to estimate the effect of a change in the excise tax on the retail price of beer. We find strong evidence that the excise tax on beer is overshifted to consumers. The pass-through coefficient is estimated at 4.83 (95% CI: 4.02; 5.64...
Jan 2016
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On the Term Structure of South African Interest Rates: Cointegration and Threshold Adjustment

Bernard Njindan Iyke
This paper explores the correlations of the short- and long-term interest rate series through time in South Africa. Two time series techniques are utilized: the Kapetanios et al. (2003) nonlinear STAR unit root test and the asymmetric cointegration with threshold adjustment test of Enders and...
Nov 2015
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The Impact of the Dividend Tax in South Africa: A Dynamic CGE Model Analysis

Jean Luc Erero and Elizabeth Gavin
This paper analyses the economy-wide impact of the dividend tax (DT) on the South African economy, which was increased from 10% to 15% by the government in 2012. The analysis was conducted using a dynamic computable general equilibrium (CGE) model of South Africa, which captured the observed...
Sep 2015
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Growth (and Segregation) by Rail: How the Railways Shaped Colonial South Africa

Johan Fourie and Alfonso Herranz-Loncan
The railway played a large part in late nineteenth century and early twentieth century globalization since, to benefit from the international economy, peripheral countries needed cheap inland transport. This paper discusses how the railway transformed the economy of South Africa’s Cape Colony...
Aug 2015
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Publication

How the ‘Hand of Henry’ Benefited the South African Economy

Johan Fourie and María Santana-Gallego
This paper highlights an aspect of mega-events that has been neglected: the changing composition of tourist arrivals during and after the event. The change happens because, in the FIFA World Cup, a quota of countries participates from each continent and this opens up new tourism markets. We show...
Mar 2015
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Publication

The Expected Well-being of Urban Refugees and Asylum Seekers in Johannesburg

Talita Greyling
The influx of asylum seekers and refugees from across Africa to democratic South Africa has increased significantly. The aim of this paper is to determine the factors that influence the ‘expected well-being’ of this unique group. ‘Expected well-being’ is an important determinant of both the...
Mar 2015
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Publication

The Migrant Network Effect: An empirical analysis of rural-to-urban migration in South Africa

Caroline Stapleton
Recent empirical migration literature in South Africa suggests that access to physical and human capital, in the way of finance and education respectively, are key factors in increasing one’s probability of migrating. This paper attempts to extend this literature by directly measuring the extent to...
Mar 2015
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