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Non-additive measures

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The emergence of "fifty-fifty" probability judgements in a conditional Savage world

Alexander Zimper
This paper models the empirical phenomenon of persistent “…fifty-…fifty ”probability judgements within a dynamic non-additive Savage framework. To this purpose I construct a model of Bayesian learning such that an agent’s probability judgement is characterized as the solution to a Choquet expected...
Dec 2012
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