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G15

International Financial Markets

Modelling exchange rate volatility dynamics: Empirical evidence from South Africa

Cyril May and Greg Farrell
In this paper, we extend the literature on modelling exchange rate volatility in South Africa by estimating a range of models, including some that attempt to account for structural breaks and long memory. We examine the key nominal exchange rates of the South African rand and replicate common...
Aug 2017
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Do monetary policy announcements affect foreign exchange returns and volatility? Some evidence from high-frequency intra-day South African data.

Cyril May, Greg Farrell and Jannie Rossouw
This paper examines the temporal effect of domestic monetary policy surprises on both the levels and volatility of the South African rand/United States dollar exchange rate. The analysis in this ‘event study’ proceeds using intra-day minute-by-minute exchange rate data, repo rate data from the...
Mar 2017
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Regionalization versus Internationalization of African Stock Markets: A frequency-time domain analysis

Gideon Boako and Paul Alagidede
This paper examines regional and global co-movemnt of Africa’s stock markets using the three-dimensional continuous Morlet wavelet transform methodology. The analyses which are done in segments investigate co-movements with global markets; bilateral exchange rates expressed in US dollars and euro;...
Oct 2016
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How are Africa's emerging stock markets related to advanced markets? Evidence from copulas

Jones Odei Mensah and Paul Alagidede
This paper examines the dependence structure between two developed and four emerging African stock markets in a copula framework. Using daily data from January 2000 to April 2014, our empirical results show that dependence structure between African and international stocks varies overtime, but...
Jul 2016
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Determinants of Cross-Border Mergers and Acquisitions Targeting Africa: 1991-2011

MK Wilson and DJM Vencatachellum
The fast output growth that a number of countries in Sub-Saharan Africa have achieved in the last decade has led to significant inflow of FDI into the continent. A number of studies have examined the trend of such FDI inflows generally but only a few have focused on these flows that are mainly...
Apr 2016
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Global commodities and African stocks: insights for hedging and diversification strategies

Gideon Boako and Paul Alagidede
Owing to frequent fluctuations in global markets, diversifying across emerging markets is increasingly becoming a necessity. Despite this, a cloud of uncertainty surrounds the relative capacities of emerging markets to provide the required shields for international investors, especially during...
Dec 2015
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Dynamic Integration of Emerging Market Bond Yields into the Global Bond Market

Anmar Pretorius and Alain Kabundi
This paper investigates empirically the integration of bond markets of emerging market economies into the global bond markets from 2003 to 2012. The paper employs factor analysis based on the Arbitrage Pricing Theory to extract global factors from a panel of 38 bond yields of advanced and emerging...
Jun 2014
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Returns Correlation Structure and Volatility Spillovers Among the Major African Stock Markets

Tinashe Harry Dumile Kambadza and Zivanemoyo Chinzara
The paper analyses the structure of returns comovements and the volatility spillovers among the African stock markets using daily data for the period 2000-2010. We particularly focus on two issues: whether the stock markets of countries with close trading and financial links are more sychronised,...
Jul 2012
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