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D58

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Computable and Other Applied General Equilibrium Models

Counting the cost of drought induced productivity losses in an agro-based economy: The case of Uganda

Nicholas Kilimani, Jan van Heerden, Heinrich Bohlmann, Louise Roos
Climate variability can affect economies directly through its impact on agricultural output, and indirectly, through its effect on the activities of down-stream industries and household welfare. This paper uses a Computable General Equilibrium model with a disaggregated agricultural sector to...
Jun 2016
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The Impact of the Dividend Tax in South Africa: A Dynamic CGE Model Analysis

Jean Luc Erero and Elizabeth Gavin
This paper analyses the economy-wide impact of the dividend tax (DT) on the South African economy, which was increased from 10% to 15% by the government in 2012. The analysis was conducted using a dynamic computable general equilibrium (CGE) model of South Africa, which captured the observed...
Sep 2015
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Effects of Reducing Tariffs in The Democratic Republic of Congo(DRC): A CGE Analysis

Jean Luc Erero, Daniel Djauhari Pambudi & Lumengo Bonga-Bonga
In this paper, the effects of reducing tariffs are analysed through a Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model of the DRC. The specific DRC Formal-Informal Model (DRCFIM) is a multi-sectoral computable general equilibrium model that captures the observed structure of the DRC’s formal and informal...
Oct 2014
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Land Use in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC)

Jean Luc Erero, Daniel Djauhari Pambudi, and Bonga Bonga Lumengo
This paper examines the effects of land use in the DRC through the application of DRC formal-informal sector computable general equilibrium model, developed with the 2007 DRC Social Accounting Matrix. Two policy options are analysed. Firstly, the hypothetical policy change introduced in the short...
Dec 2013
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Analysing the Effects of Fiscal Policy Shocks in the South African Economy

Charl Jooste, Guangling (Dave) Liu and Ruthira Naraidoo
This paper is the first one to analyse the effect of aggregate government spending and taxes on output for South Africa using three types of a calibrated DSGE model and more data driven models such as a structural vector error correction model (SVECM) and a time-varying parameter VAR (TVP-VAR) to...
May 2013
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Is Water Shedding Next?

James Blignaut and Jan van Heerden
South Africa is in the grip of an electricity crisis marked by a euphemism known as “load shedding”. The demand for electricity has grown to the point that the supply reserve margin is often under threat, necessitating the electricity supplier to cut supply to some areas for various periods of time...
Jul 2009
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