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The Migrant Network Effect: An empirical analysis of rural-to-urban migration in South Africa

Caroline Stapleton
Recent empirical migration literature in South Africa suggests that access to physical and human capital, in the way of finance and education respectively, are key factors in increasing one’s probability of migrating. This paper attempts to extend this literature by directly measuring the extent to...
Mar 2015
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Effects of Social Norms on Multiple Partnerships: Evidence from Young Adults in the Metropolitan Communities of Cape Town, South Africa

Byela Tibesigwa and Martine Visser
Even though antiretroviral treatment is becoming more efficient and available, new HIV infections still occur. This is particularly the case in sub-Saharan Africa. Sexual transmission of HIV is still the main mode of transmission in sub-Saharan Africa, and multiple sex partners have been shown to...
Aug 2014
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‘Know Your Epidemic’: The Effects of Expected Health and Contextual Health Uncertainty on Risky Sex

Byela Tibesigwa, Martine Visser and Mintewab Bezabih
This study measures the link between expected health and contextual health uncertainty on sexual behaviours associated with the risk of HIV infection. We extend similar studies on the subject by focusing on contextual factors as a way of explaining individual sexual behaviour in low and high HIV...
Aug 2014
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Antitrust market definition using statistical learning techniques and consumer characteristics

Willem H. Boshoff
Market definition is the first step in an antitrust case and relies on empirical evidence of substitution patterns. Cross-price elasticity estimates are preferred evidence for studying substitution patterns, due to advances in IO econometric modelling. However, the data and time requirements of...
Jun 2011
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Orphanhood and Schooling in South Africa: Trends in the vulnerability of orphans between 1993 and 2005

Cally Ardington
Using 11 nationally representative surveys conducted between 1993 and 2005 this paper assesses the extent to which the vulnerability of orphans to poorer educational outcomes has changed over time as the AIDS crisis deepens in South Africa. This paper seeks to establish whether the fear that...
Mar 2008
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Schooling as a Lottery: Racial Differences in School Advancement in Urban South Africa

David Lam, Cally Ardington and Murray Leibbrandt
This paper develops a stochastic model of grade repetition to analyze the large racial differences in progress through secondary school in South Africa. The model predicts that a larger stochastic component in the link between learning and measured performance will generate higher enrollment,...
Aug 2007
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