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Computable General Equilibrium Models

Regional economic effects of changes in South Africa's electricity generation mix

Bohlmann, H.R., Horridge, J.M., Inglesi-Lotz, R., Roos, E.L. & Stander, L.
This paper examines the long-run regional economic effects within South Africa of changing the electricity-generation mix away from coal. We use a regional CGE model of South Africa to conduct our analysis. The results of our simulations suggest that the effect of the policy is sensitive to other...
Aug 2018
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National minimum wage in South Africa: A Computable General Equilibrium Model Analysis

Jean Luc Erero
This paper analyses the economy-wide impact of the national minimum wage on the South African economy. The analysis was conducted using a static computable general equilibrium (CGE) model of South Africa, which captured the observed structure of South Africa’s economy. The parameters of the CGE...
Nov 2016
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The Impact of the COMESA-EAC-SADC Tripartite Free Trade Agreement on the South African Economy

L. Walters, H.R. Bohlmann and M.W. Clance
This paper analyses the effects of the COMESA-EAC-SADC Tripartite Free Trade Agreement (TFTA) on the South African economy using a global Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model. Simulation results show that South Africa’s economy gains from the implementation of the trade agreement with GDP...
Sep 2016
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An Economy-Wide Evaluation of New Power Generation in South Africa: The Case of Kusile and Medupi

J. A.Bohlmann., H. R. Bohlmann, and R. Inglesi-Lotz
The South African economy has suffered over the past decade due to a lack of adequate electricity supply. With two new coal-fired power stations, Kusile and Medupi, scheduled to come online over a six year period (2014-2019), their additional generation capacity is expected to restore electricity...
Jun 2015
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The Impact of the 2014 Platinum Mining Strike in South Africa: An Economy-Wide Analysis

Bohlmann, HR, Dixon, PB, Rimmer, MT and Van Heerden, JH
In this paper we measure the economy-wide impact of the 2014 labour strike in South Africa’s platinum industry. The strike lasted five months, ending in June 2014 when producers reached an agreement with the main labour unions. The immediate impacts on local mining towns were particularly severe,...
Nov 2014
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Effects of Reducing Tariffs in The Democratic Republic of Congo(DRC): A CGE Analysis

Jean Luc Erero, Daniel Djauhari Pambudi & Lumengo Bonga-Bonga
In this paper, the effects of reducing tariffs are analysed through a Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model of the DRC. The specific DRC Formal-Informal Model (DRCFIM) is a multi-sectoral computable general equilibrium model that captures the observed structure of the DRC’s formal and informal...
Oct 2014
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